ADerating ForecasterHackArizona · Team 10
← back to catalog

Quad Cities Unit 1

Constellation · Mississippi · IL

Operational7-day point: 99.2%
ForecastHistory
Run Apr 26 · source live
Year:
Operational ≥ 95%Weather dipNon-weather dipRefueling + recovery
No data for 2026.

The trend line is colored by what caused the dip: green when the plant is operational (≥ 95%), red across weather-driven dip events, magenta across non-weather-driven dip events (model predicted ≥ 95% but realization fell below 90% on at least one day in the event), and bold blue across refueling outages and the reactor ramp-back that follows until the plant returns to ≥ 95%.

Top features driving the 7-day forecast

SHAP, capacity-factor pp
Baseline 88.5 → Point 100.0top 5 features
  • Water temperature (14d ago)
    +2.81
  • Water temperature (7d max)
    -2.61
  • Water temperature (30d avg)
    +2.45
  • Water thermal stress (30d max)
    +1.40
  • Water thermal stress (30d avg)
    +1.33

Weather inputs feeding the 14-day forecast

Trailing 30-day conditions the model uses to project the next 14 days
Air temp (max)17.6 °C
Water temp19.2 °C
Streamflow132.0 kcfs